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31 posts from March 2008

March 31, 2008

The greatest achievement of my life

I now have a score of 2075 in Nintendo Wii tennis. My kids can spend the rest of their life in therapy, I can go broke, I can crash the car into a bus full of nuns and orphans-- none of that matters now.


via flickr

At this stage, it's not enough to beat the machine; you have to win decisively in order to even maintain your score. Which is kind of a pain, but if keeps you interested. A trophy would be nice, too. Even a virtual one.

[To the tune of Lee Ritenour, "Ipanema Sol," from the album "Rio".]

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Quote of the day

[F]or all its horrors, the Cold War was a system of international security. The world was dominated by the United States and the Soviet Union, and the countries in between often subordinated their own interests to accommodate—in the West by choice, in the East by force—the interests of their superpower protector. When the USSR evaporated, we didn't step into the vacuum; the vacuum expanded. Old allies realized they could go their own ways and pursue their own interests with less regard for what Washington thought. Other powers—China especially—moved up in the world, offering alternative alignments. (Fred Kaplan, "How to Heal U.S. Diplomacy")

[To the tune of The Beatles, "Ticket To Ride," from the album "Anthology 2 (Disc 1)".]

March 30, 2008

Obama and the "new dialogue on mixed race"

Good New York Times article on the impact Barack Obama's candidacy is raising issues about being multiracial, and how we describe racial categories:

Being accepted. Proving loyalty. Navigating the tight space between racial divides. Americans of mixed race say these are issues they have long confronted, and when Senator Barack Obama recently delivered a speech about race in Philadelphia, it rang with a special significance in their ears. They saw parallels between the path trod by Mr. Obama and their own....

Americans of mixed race say that questions about whether Mr. Obama, with a white mother from Kansas and a black father from Kenya, is “too black” or “not black enough,” as the candidate himself brought up in his speech on March 18, show the extent to which the nation is still fixated on old categories....

The old categories are weakening, however, as immigration and the advancing age of marriage in the United States fuel a steady rise in the number of interracial marriages. The 2000 Census counted 3.1 million interracial couples, or about 6 percent of married couples. For the first time, the Census that year allowed respondents to identify themselves as being two or more races, a category that now includes 7.3 million Americans, or about 3 percent of the population.

Of course, part of the appeal of California is that the Bay Area is ahead of this particular curve. The fact that everyone is from somewhere else-- and even many of us who are "natives" can tell how many generations it's been since their ancestors arrived here-- tends to make interracial relationships less notable than in some other places. Indeed, after years of having classmates who speak with Australian or Hong Kong accents, who have parents who graduated from IIT or Oxbridge, or whose parents are of different ethnicities, my kids assume that everyone is at least partly from somewhere else. And even though they're both native Californians (sixth or second generation, depending on whether you count from my wife's side or mine), growing up within a couple miles of the house their mother was raised in, they see themselves that way, too.

[To the tune of Dan Fogelberg, "Tell Me to My Face," from the album "Twin Sons of Different Mothers".]

March 29, 2008

The Spitzer scandal, explained--

--by a 3 year-old in a Disney Princess dress.

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March 28, 2008

Just trying out Grand Central

Not long ago I got a Grand Central number. It's basically a universal phone number, which you can set up to ring different phones (home, cell, etc.) depending on various rules; it's also got some cool voice mail functionality.

One of the other things you can do is let other people leave voice mail by clicking on the above badge. I have no idea if it'll just be a magnet for spam, or might be genuinely useful; we'll see.

It's certainly an interesting service in theory; I particularly like the idea of being able to check voice messages from my computer, which would make it easier for friends and family to leave me messages when I'm on the road. (Not that they don't all spend a lot of time doing e-mail already, anyway.) I tried creating a couple greetings, but they were from my cell phone and don't sound great.

It strikes me as a little odd that you can't record greetings from your computer. I know they're focused on phone connections, but I'm just saying.

March 27, 2008

What could they be writing about?

Apparently, Israeli security service Shin Bet has an official blog. I can't read Hebrew, so I have no idea what they blog about. Isn't this like MI-6 or the NSA having a blog?

According to the BBC, it's mainly for recruitment purposes-- kind of the CIA having a Facebook group or MySpace page:

The [four blogging] agents discuss how they were recruited, and what sort of work they perform; they also answer questions sent in by members of the public.

The tone of the blog is chatty, at times even facetious....
A Shin Bet official told the BBC that the idea was to inform the public that the agency offers work beyond just stopping Palestinian paramilitary attacks.

The official said that the agency had been cheered by the feedback from members of the Israeli public - keen to find out more about the jobs within Shin Bet, the pay and even the food.

And I must confess, I really like the combination of Matrix-ish background and silhouettes instead of photographs. It manages to be hip and sinister-looking at the same time.

[via ISN]

[To the tune of Perpetual Groove, "Glock Jam," from the album "Live at The Music Farm, 31 December 2006".]

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Reconnect

I've gotten a slew of Facebook and LinkedIn requests these last few days, from people I've not been in touch with for a while. These come now and then, but what's unusual right now is how many of them are from people I haven't been in touch with for a long time.

This past weekend I got a friend request on Facebook from a high school classmate who I haven't seen since graduation, more than 25 years ago. He's now a pastor, and from what I hear a pretty good one.

I also reconnected with one of my high school music teachers. This is someone I haven't spoken to in a couple decades, but she was one of my favorite teachers. It turns out that she was also of the most influential. I've not sung in any organized venue since college, but I think singing gave me a valuable familiarity with public performance and an awareness (in a good way) of the craft and artifice of self-presentation.

This is not an impact either of us could have predicted, and it illustrates two things.

The first is that education is rarely wasted... but its doesn't always pay off where you expect. When my children were babies and waking up in the middle of the night, I was getting very little sustained sleep, and often thought to myself, this is like studying for my orals. I didn't read all that Joseph Ben-David, Margaret Rossiter and Andy Pickering in order to be more effective at baby-wrangling; but it turns out that the experience of having to plow through vast amounts of stuff, and not having enough hours to both read and sleep, paid off in unexpected ways. Nor did I study STS to become a futurist; but the value of STS as a conceptual toolkit and way of thinking is pretty self-evident to my colleagues.

The second is that if it's hard for us to predict how what we learn will pay off, it's almost impossible for our teachers to know. For me, one of the hardest things about teaching was the sense that I didn't know-- indeed, couldn't know-- what kind of impact I was having on my students, or would have on them. It might be that the enthusiastic ones would never find a use for anything I taught them, or that the smart but slightly jaded one would have a career-defining moment that turned on something she learned in class. All of that was unknowable to me, and I would have to take on faith that, after all was said and done, my impact would be more positive than negative (or maybe neutral was the worst you could reasonably expect-- a history teacher is going to have a hard time ruining anyone's life).

Of course, there are a few students you hear about, and if you're old enough you might merit some kind of formal recognition, which is an occasion for people to come and say nice things about you. But those kinds of events are pretty scripted, and come pretty late in one's professional life.

I wonder, though, if in the future teachers will find it a little easier to know how their former students are doing, and what kind of effect they might have had on them. My wife, who teaches eighth graders, is connected to some of her former students through Facebook; and while they may not talk regularly, those weak ties are easier to maintain than my connections to my teachers, and it's probably a little harder for them to decay to the point of being useless. (After a couple moves, I found that not only had I shed myself of things I wanted to get rid of, I'd also inadvertently thrown out things like address books, old letters, and the like. So much for going home again.) I suspect that in the future these links may make it easier for teachers to have a sense of how they've affected students. Which would be nice for everyone.

[To the tune of Perpetual Groove, "March of Gibbles Army," from the album "Live at The Music Farm, 31 December 2006".]

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Paper Enigma machine

Sure, the Enigma was cracked in World War II, but it's still a pretty cool device. Did you know you can make a (very simple) paper version?

[via Bruce Schneier]

[To the tune of Perpetual Groove, "Get Down Tonight," from the album "Live at The Music Farm, 31 December 2006".]

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RFID-equipped passports made in... Thailand?

I just got a new passport, and reluctantly accepted the fact that it was going to have an RFID tag in it. I'm generally not particularly worried about having RFID on consumer products, but RFID-tagged passports are a different situation (Bruce Schneier has made the argument against them very well). Now I see this on Daily Kos:

Your RFID-Chipped Passport Is Made In Thailand and China 'Stole' the Chip Tech

Terrific.

[To the tune of Perpetual Groove, "Gorilla Monsoon," from the album "Live at the Langerado Music Festival, 6 March 2008".]

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March 26, 2008

Awesomest song ever

I don't wanna tell you how to do your job, but... could you make the logo bigger?

[thanks to Jess and Mike]

[To the tune of Steve Bassett, "No Good for Her," from the album "Unreleased".]

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March 25, 2008

Peninsula this afternoon

Peninsula this afternoon

March 23, 2008

Getting ready to grill

At my in-laws this afternoon. The BBQ season is officially starting!

Getting ready to grill

At my in-laws this afternoon. The BBQ season is officially starting!

March 22, 2008

At Peninsula, waiting for my daughter

At Peninsula, waiting for my daughter

March 20, 2008

Quote of the day

A Taoist master was asked about the validity of the I-ching as a means for divination. He said, 100% accurate. Then he was asked, well is there ever any chance that the divination will be misinterpreted? Also 100%.

[via Stanford Siver]

[To the tune of Passion Sources, "Sabahiya," from the album "Passion: Sources".]

March 19, 2008

Quote of the day

[P]recedent is relevant only in an institution that lacks confidence in its present and future ability to reach conclusions on a rational basis. (John Kay, "The Management of the University of Oxford.... Facing the Future")

[To the tune of Lynyrd Skynyrd, "Tuesday's Gone," from the album "The Essential Lynyrd Skynyrd".]

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The mysteries of science

Tonight at dinner my son was talking about the activity he went to today. At Peninsula the kindergartners have elective activities, and the kids are consistently proud of their ability to choose your own activity. "I went to electronics," he said.

"What did you do?" I asked.

"We got to play with a handygraph generator."

"Why's it called that?"

"Because you put your hands on it, and it makes your hair stand up."

Having written my senior thesis about the MIT physics and electrical engineering departments in the 1930s-- what can I say, it seemed like a good idea at the time-- I actually know a thing or two about the history of the Van de Graaff generator, but I certainly wasn't going to ruin the moment with something as pedantic as telling my son the generator's proper name. (I once went to see The Mission with my father, who's an historian of colonial Latin America; my memory of the experience-- which I'm certain is exaggerated-- is of him complaining throughout about the film's historical errors.)

But it got me thinking. I'm not sure I ever saw a Van de Graaff generator until I got to college, and here's my 6 year-old, playing with one.

There's a belief that Peninsula doesn't do technology, but this is one of those things that a community likes to believe about itself even in the face of substantial contrary evidence. In fact, it's not really true: the Homebrew Computer Club met at Peninsula, the campus has wireless everywhere, and the kids aren't exactly low-tech, even though the emphasis is definitely (and rightly) on more physical activities and learning.

And where did they get their hands (literally!) on one? One of the other parents runs it a couple times a week. In fact, there are several parents who run these electives: one parent who lives nearby and raises chickens has "Farm," and the kids go over, feed the animals, and learn a little about where eggs come from. (One day I want to do one on geodesic dome-building, but not just yet. I'm going to save that for when I return to the dome book.) In most of the schools I went to, not only did my parents have very few opportunities to meet my teachers or step inside my classes, no one would have known what to do with them if they had appeared. Here, casual everyday contact between teachers and parents is the norm, and parents are expected to help keep things running.

[To the tune of Little Feat, "Dixie Chicken," from the album "Waiting for Columbus".]

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March 18, 2008

Italian Steely Dan cover band

While doing... actually, I don't remember what I was doing... I came across a slightly mind-blowing Italian Steely Dan cover band, Lucrezio de Seta and his Scurvy Brothers. Their cover of "Kid Charlemagne" is pretty interesting.

[To the tune of Steely Dan, "Kid Charlemagne (Live)," from the album "Alive in America".]

March 17, 2008

True things said in jest

Via Michael Anissimov, Pictures for Sad Children's cartoon about the Singularity.

It's not bad, but there's still a hole in my life from the Alien Loves Predator hiatus. Thanks God for the pleasing consistency of Wondermark!

[To the tune of Von Südenfed, "Dear Dead Friends," from the album "Tromatic ReflexxionsTromatic Reflexxions".]

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March 11, 2008

Done with Day 2

So I'm finished with the visualization conference, and am hanging out in the hotel lobby for a while, as I've got a couple more hours of wifi usage here, and my plane doesn't leave until almost 10 p.m.

And since I'm only two stops from West Falls Church, there's no chance I could fall asleep on the Metro, wake up in Maryland, and miss my plane.

In fact, I think maybe I'll head on out to the hotel in a couple minutes. Just to be sure....

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March 10, 2008

Quote of the day: on academic promotion

From Structured Procrastination:

[Upon] promotion to Full Professor... the golden era begins.... The various committees that agreed to tenure and promotion, probably grudgingly, have ceased to remember the details. People just know you are a Full Professor and have been for a while. By this time, with a little luck, your hair is grey and you look distinguished or at least old. At this point, everyone assumes that you must have done something quite important, although they can't quite remember what. Once you realize that you will never again have your work crawled over by various committees charged with evaluating your basic worth as a human being, it becomes more fun. Bliss.

The trick, then, is to get a job based on work you haven't done, and stick around until the details of what you did are forgotten. That's when the true rewards of academia set in.

[To the tune of Elton John, "Bennie and the Jets," from the album "Greatest Hits".]

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Hotel Man is an island

I haven't turned on the TV once since i got here; nor have I drunk any of the hotel coffee, or bought any snacks. I'm finding that more and more, I'm carrying everything I need for a trip with me-- not just my clothes and business stuff, but also my own tea (I've turned into something a tea elitist) and food (Trader Joe's macadamias are my new favorite on-the-road snack). I use my computer as an alarm clock (Minuteur has an evil buzzer, so it's really effective), and of course it's full of music and movies.

I wonder if this is typical of business travelers, or am I some kind of outlier?

[To the tune of Elton John, "Rocket Man," from the album "Greatest Hits".]

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A pleasant day, if completely disconnected from reality

The first day of the visualization workshop was very good. I learned quite a bit about the current state of the art in biomedical visualization, and even more important, who to talk to learn more. Overall, though, it strikes me that while visualization tools are really interesting, we're neither familiar enough with them, nor are they easy enough to interpret, to be as amazingly powerful and transformative as they should be. We're still in that phase where every tool is a little different, and each has to be translated into something more familiar. But that will change.

Even when you work with really smart people, it's nice to spend time with other really smart people. It's not often you can have Japanese food and have a long talk about whether the term "collective intelligence" is just a metaphor or a genuine social/psychological object, and if the latter, how you would go about testing it.


via flickr

But I'm kind of cut off from things. Did something happen in New York?

I ought to be packing and going to bed, but I'm procrastinating; it'll take me about 10 minutes to pack, I tell myself, and I don't have to be at NSF tomorrow until the comparatively luxurious hour of 9 (given that I was on the train to the National Academies at 7:45, and the NSF is very close, this is luxurious), so instead I'm sitting in the big easy chair, listening to music.

[To the tune of Genesis, "Turn It On Again," from the album "Duke".]

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In Marketplace

I'm interviewed by Cyrus Farivar on NPR's Marketplace today. We talk about how "Predicting the Future is Tricky for Business." Vint Cerf and Esther Dyson are also interviewed.

Incredibly, I don't sound like a total idiot.

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March 09, 2008

In the hotel

I'm at the Hilton Arlington, and settled into my room. I got here really late, thanks to the delays with my bags, but all's well that ends well.


via flickr

The hotel is your basic Hilton, not much to write home about. I've always had mixed feelings about Northern Virginia-- as someone who grew up in Richmond, I was taught to look upon Nova as a foreign country filled with obnoxious preppies and assume they saw us as a bunch of rubes (the John Hughes Weltanschauung blown up to gigantic proportions)-- but I have to say: this place is really easy to get to. Two Metro stops from West Falls Church (the line that connects to Dulles), and it's literally on top of the Metro station. And I could not be closer to the NSF. In fact, I may look out my window into its windows.

So it lacks something in exotica, but it's damned convenient.

I went to an IHOP across the street, and it was a bit of a letdown. Mainly because I'm on a low-carb diet, and so I passed on the pancakes in favor of steak. Going to an IHOP is just not the same if you don't have pancakes.


via flickr

Tomorrow morning I'm taking the Metro in to the National Academies, and will spend a little time there; then it's back here, and to the scientific visualization workshop, which really looks terrific.

[To the tune of Miles Davis, "It's About That Time," from the album "The Complete In A Silent Way Sessions [Disc 2]".]

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On the Washington Flyer

I'm on the bus from Dulles International to the West Falls Church Metro. From there, I'll take the Orange line two stops to my hotel, which I think is within walking distance of the Metro station.

Why the Metro doesn't extend all the way to Dulles is completely beyond me. That would be entirely too rational. I remember the Futurists and other early 20th-century architects had grand visions of vast airport/train/zeppelin stations. Who would have guessed that in the United States, the the paragon of modernism, there'd be such resistance to something so logical?

There's one other person on the bus who has their Powerbook open.

[To the tune of Miles Davis, "In A Silent Way," from the album "The Complete In A Silent Way Sessions [Disc 2]".]

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My European invasion

In the last couple days I've seen several friends from Europe, who were over here for eTech and came north. First, I had lunch with the Innovation Lab's Mads Thimmer; that evening, I got together with Peter Hesseldahl, an author and futurist at Danfoss Universe. In professional years, both are old friends: I first met Mads in 2004 when I spoke at Next 2004, and I met Peter even earlier, when he was at Lego and doing a project with the Institute.

The next day, I gave a talk at an innovation journalism program that brings international journalists (mainly Scandinavian, from what I can tell) to the Bay Area for a few weeks. The program's basic premise is that reporting about technology and innovation plays a role in the development of regional innovation networks-- an interesting claim, and one that dovetails with my observations about the co-evolution of technology reporting and technology marketing in Silicon Valley (something I noticed when I was working on the history of the Macintosh).

Finally, Friday I had an early dinner with Nicolas Nova, a really interesting computer science researcher who's based in Switzerland. He's one of the co-founders of the LIFT conference series, a technology-related event that alternates between Europe and Asia; more recently, he and Julian Bleeker have just started something called the Near Future Laboratory, which is doing some pretty interesting stuff.

I'm fascinated with the European futures scene, and I think it's not just because my contact with it has been wonderfully privileged (they know how to treat their guests). In some ways, the futures world there seems more vibrant than the American-- though it may just be interesting because it's different. The EU seems to be pretty interested in futures work, and there are a number of corporate-sponsored innovation labs there.

They also seem to me to be better at developing multi-institutional networks: American futurists are very good at networking with people other than futurists, but we tend not to work together very much. Partly this reflects the fact that in the U.S. we're all-- or always have the potential to be-- competitors; in Europe, in contrast, the situation is a little different. As one person put it, futures groups in Germany, Spain, England, Finland, and Denmark can work together because the futures market is still pretty national. They can share ideas with less concern that they'll end up enabling their competition.

This ability to cooperate is important because the futures world is both small and pretty atomized, and any efforts to link researchers and institutions together in any meaningful way, and to begin to generate some coordinated (or at least collectively-informed) action is likely to yield some significant benefits.

I'm also starting to think seriously that the whole field of futures as we know it is ripe for a revolution, and that the intellectual tools and institutional models developed by the founding generation of futurists-- a generation that is now retiring or dying off-- will not be useful for much longer. They're certainly not going to be useful for the rest of my professional life.

The challenge is to figure out how to do futures work for a world that's rather different than the world of the 1960s and 1970s; and it seems to me that the Europeans have a better shot than we do of making the next great methodological leap.

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I'm in Dulles, my suitcase isn't

I'm spending the next couple days in DC, at an NSF conference on scientific visualization.

I made it to Dulles without incident-- I had a perfectly nice exit row aisle seat-- but have been at United Airlines Baggage Claim for an hour, and my bag has yet to arrive.

This is what I get for trying to be nice and checking my bag, rather than taking up half of an overhead compartment with a carry-on bag. Next time I'm privatizing my little piece of the storage commons. To heck with everyone else.


via flickr

I've been standing in a line to file a claim for a lost bag, but things aren't going very well. The person who was running the kiosk has disappeared, and no other United employees seem to know anything. As someone near me said, "Everyone behaves like it's not their problem."

Update. Apparently the container was lost on its way from the plane to the terminal, and will be here in the next 15-20 minutes. But this begs the question: How in the world do you misplace a container between the plane and terminal? Is it actually quite easy to do, and it's a small miracle every time a bag actually appears on time, or is this a sign of monumental stupidity?

Neither explanation is particularly heartening.


via flickr

[To the tune of The Allman Brothers Band, "Soulshine," from the album "Where It All Begins".]

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March 04, 2008

Quote of the day

Via James Wolcott:

The cathedrals, with their distant domes, their long aisles and their high groinings, do add stature to human strivings; their chapels do give privacy for prayer. But the bathroom, too, shelters the spirit, it tranquilizes and reassures, in surroundings of a celestial whiteness, where the pipes and the faucets gleam and the mirror makes another liquid surface, which will render you, shaved, rubbed and brushed, a nobler and more winning appearance. (Edmund Wilson, A Piece of My Mind: Reflections at Sixty)

[To the tune of Radiohead, "Reckoner," from the album "In Rainbows".]

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