One of my all-time favorite classes in college was David Brownlee's history of modern architecture. It was one of those few classes that genuinely changed the way I was able to look at buildings and cities, by introducing me to the vocabulary of modern architecture, and giving me a measure of appreciation for interesting places I've visited since.
So between that background and my current gig, I was interested to see Slate architecture critic Witold Rybczynski argue that avant-garde architecture, which is often described as "'experimental,' 'innovative,' or 'cutting edge'"-- and thus a preview of what everyone will be designing in years to come-- is actually a pretty unreliable guide to the future of architecture:
the term architectural avant-garde is an oxymoron, since an architect, unlike a painter, is able to experiment only within relatively narrow bounds. Buildings are expensive, and they are intended to last a long time, so the people who build them tend to be risk-averse.... Even if a building succeeds in breaking the mold, that is no guarantee that it is showing the way, for innovative buildings rarely anticipate the future. There have been exceptions. Frank Lloyd Wright's first Usonian house, built in 1936, with its one-story living, open plan, carport, and low-slung roof, did foreshadow the ranch houses of the '50s and '60s, and Mies van der Rohe's novel Lake Shore Drive apartment towers in Chicago, completed in 1951, were the first example of the steel-and-glass-curtain wall that would dominate commercial architecture for the next two decades....
The truth is that buildings belong firmly to their own time. This is especially true of architecture that self-consciously attempts to predict the future. That's why the settings of old sci-fi movies are often so funny; the future never turns out the way people imagine. Most buildings have a shelf life of 20 to 30 years; that is, it takes 20 to 30 years before they are perceived as "old-fashioned." This doesn't mean that the buildings are ugly, or not useful, or not cherished—simply that they now represent the past. That's not necessarily a bad thing—it would be disorienting to live in an environment that never aged (actually, it would be like living in Las Vegas).
[To the tune of Mogwai, "Big E," from the album "Life at Cafe de la Danse, Paris, May 14, 2001".]
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